The following list is a selection of citations supporting the research behind the Our Coast, Our Future modeling results.
The overall CoSMoS modeling framework
- Barnard, P.L., van Ormondt, M., Erikson, L.H., Eshleman, J., Hapke, C., Ruggiero, P., Adams, P.N. and Foxgrover, A.C., in review. Development of the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for predicting the impact of storms on high-energy, active-margin coasts. - contact Patrick Barnard for more information
- Barnard, P.L., O’Reilly, B., van Ormondt, M., Elias, E., Ruggiero, P., Erikson, L.H., Hapke, C., Collins, B.D., Guza, R.T., Adams, P.N., Thomas, J.T., 2009. The framework of a coastal hazards model: a tool for predicting the impact of severe storms. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2009-1073, 19 p.http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1073/
The Digital Elevation Model
- Foxgrover, A.C. and Barnard, P.L., 2012. A seamless, high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) of the North-Central California coast. U.S. Geological Survey Data Series, DS-684, 11 pp., http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/684/
Future wave climate
- Erikson, L.H., Hegermiller, C.A., Barnard, P.L., Ruggiero, P. and van Ormondt, M., in review. Projected median and extreme deep water wave conditions along the Eastern North Pacific margin and Hawai’i forced by CMIP5 global climate models under two radiative forcing scenarios. - contact Li Erikson for more information
Historical shoreline and cliff projections
- Hapke, C.J., Reid, D., Richmond, B.M., Ruggiero, P., and List, J., 2006. National Assessment of Shoreline Change: III. Historical Shoreline Changes and Associated Coastal Land Loss along the Sandy Shorelines of the California Coast. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2006-1219, 79p., http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2006/1219/
- Hapke, C.J., and Reid, D., 2007, The National assessment of shoreline change: Part 4, Historical coastal cliff retreat along the California coast: U.S. Geological Survey Open-file Report 2007-1133, http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2007/1133
Significant papers that highlight various modeling components we use
- Delft Hydraulics, 2007, User manual Delft3D- FLOW: WL/ Delft Hydraulics, 614 p. Hapke, C.J. and Plant, N., 2010, Predicting Coastal Cliff Erosion Using a Bayesian Probabilistic Model: Marine Geology, v. 278, p.140-149.
- Lesser, G.R., Roelvink, J.A., van Kester, J.A., and Stelling, G.S., 2004, Development and validation of a three-dimensional morphological model: Coastal Engineering, v. 51, p. 883-915.
- Roelvink, D., Reniers, A., Van Dongeren, A., van Thiel de Vries, J., McCall, R. and Lescinski, J., 2009. Modelling storm impacts on beaches, dunes and barrier islands." Coastal Engineering, v. 56 (11-12), p. 1133-1152.
- Tolman, H.L., 1999, User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH-III version 1.18: NOAA/ NWS/NCEP/OMB Technical Note 166, 110 p.