Habitat Suitability Indices / Predicted Species Distributions
Species distributions were modeled using Maxent (http://www.cs.princeton.edu/~schapire/maxent/). The suitability value of any mapped pixel is the sum of the probabilities of that pixel and all other pixels with equal or lower probability, multiplied by 100 to give a percentage. This value represents the % of pixels with a lower suitability value. The higher the value, the higher the probability of a species' occurrence.

The boundary of the Maxent distribution layers was created by merging the spatial extents of the selected California Central Valley hydrologic units and The Nature Conservancy's Great Central Valley ecoregion (see www.nature.org). We chose this merged boundary as it allowed complete overlap with the Central Valley's 12 largest hydrologic units while providing some coverage for the foothills to the east.

Additional information on our modeling methods can be found here.

A list of environmental data layers used in the models can be found here.

Estimated Mean Densities
Density estimates (birds per hectare) and standard errors are given for each of the focal bird species (see Table 1 below) examined in this study (format: density +- standard error), for each Hydrologic Unit. These estimates are presented from point count surveys where at least 10 observation records were available for a given Habitat Group (see Table 2 below) within each Hydrologic Unit. Densities were calculated at each point count site based on a 50 meter survey radius from the point count location.

Within a given Hydrologic Unit, the densities from all point count locations falling within specific Habitat Groups were averaged to calculate the estimates presented in the 'Densities by watershed' point layer. For riparian focal species, density estimates are separated into riparian and wetland habitats.

The Hydrologic Unit layer's boundaries are derived from polygons defined in the CalWater 2.2.1 product (the California Interagency Watershed Map of 1999; updated May 2004, "calw221"). CalWater 2.2.1 is the State of California's working definition of watershed boundaries (see www.gis.ca.gov).


Table 1. Bird Species and Associated Habitat Groups (click bird species name for related species account)

HABITAT GROUP

SPECIES

Grassland Burrowing Owl
Grasshopper Sparrow
Northern Harrier
Savannah Sparrow
Western Meadowlark
Oak Woodland Acorn Woodpecker
Ash-throated Flycatcher
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher
Lark Sparrow
Nuttall's Woodpecker
Oak Titmouse
Western Bluebird
Yellow-billed Magpie
Riparian and Wetland Black-headed Grosbeak
Blue Grosbeak
Common Yellowthroat
Song Sparrow
Spotted Towhee
Swainson's Hawk
Tricolored Blackbird
Yellow-breasted Chat
Yellow Warbler

Table 2. Habitat Groups and Associated WHR Types

HABITAT

WHRNAME

Grassland Perennial Grassland
  Annual Grassland
  Pasture
Oak Woodland Blue Oak-Foothill Pine
  Blue Oak Woodland
  Coastal Oak Woodland
  Valley Oak Woodland
  Montane Hardwood-Conifer
  Montane Hardwood
Riparian Aspen
  Montane Riparian
  Valley Foothill Riparian
  Desert Riparian
Wetland Wet Meadow
  Freshwater Emergent Wetland